
Hey, I see you prognosticating in the corner over there. Yeah, I'm talking to you, Maylock, Kiper, and anyone with a blog and 20 minutes of spare time. None of the mock drafts mean anything until next month when you might actually get some real news leaked from a legitimate source. Until then, we the fans must listen to every sporting news outlet change their picks from week to week as a new "Must-have" prospect has his workouts.
So, in pooling through draft mocks, in reading about the depth of the draft pool at defensive line, and about how "safe" a pick Patrick Peterson is(my initial pick for the Bills in round 1), it got me thinking: Is there really a must-have guy in this draft? If someone is available at the third overall pick, are the Bills idiots for passing on him?
Amidst all the lockout colloquy, this year's NFL draft has become something momentous for all NFL clubs. With the uncertainty of the intricacies of a new CBA and the talk of the implementation of a potential rookie pay scale, there is more talent across the board than I can remember in any recent draft. This, of course, comes with the disclaimer that I have only really paid attention to the draft in the last 4 or 5 years, so grain of salt for sample size. Still, in comparison to the past few years, where there were one, two, maybe three people that you knew were locks to be off the board in the first 5 picks, this year's draft seems more and more a crap shoot.
Go ahead and take a look at mock drafts from a month or two ago and see how those same draft experts have changed since the combine and individual workouts have taken place. I remember Cam Newton being "the guy" initially, then it was Blaine Gabbert, then the Nick Fairley or Bowers debate, followed by the Jones or Green debate, then it became the Patrick Peterson show, then Von Miller, and now everyone is left scratching their heads because, in essence, there are so many talented prospects this year that the next NFL superstar could come out of the second or third round.
For the Bills, I don't think there's a guy they must have at the third overall pick if he's there. Arguably their most pressing need is defensive line, and there seems to be no shortage of talent there this year. A cult favorite who is on the rise right now on the D-line is Cameron Jordan, but who knows how long those rumors will last.
If there's one thing that I learned last year, it is that the front office at OBD may give a few subtle hints as to who they would like in the draft but only as we approach that time and the media starts to get hungry for sports information at a slow time for Buffalo sports. If you were paying attention last year, they said they wanted the most talented player available and a play-maker. Weeks later they had selected Spiller (let's hope he hits his stride this season). There are at least ten or more players who are talented enough to be taken first overall, and more that should be considered as the third overall selection.
Buffalo Rumblings is breaking down their top 13 which I feel is a good place to look for insight into who the Bills might like most (they tend to get a lot of traffic and post great links to draft rumors; credible or not it's a good source of news that's not always lockout related).
Bottom line, this is a redemption year for the Bills in terms of drafting. There are many experienced, proven producers at many different positions that there's no need to take a shot in the dark on a surprise candidate like an Aaron Maybin or Willis McGahee. It's time for the Bills to draft for need, draft for the long haul, and draft wisely. No, there's not one player who they must take if he's there, but at the same time, they can't afford to leave any stone unturned. We'll see what happens in the next month and see if we can't pick up on the way Ralph, Buddy and Chan are leaning pre-draft. Time to re-Billd... meh, I'll work on that one.